Commodity Forecasting

Unbiased Mathematical Forecasts

At Terra Modelling Services Inc., we offer a mathematical pattern and commodity recognition approach, calibrated against observed historic data and market fundamentals.  Our probabilistic approach removes inherent biases of other models.
Modelling is based on monthly data, and is updated on a monthly basis.  We offer this as a subscription-based commodity price forecast and market trigger point service.

The current commodity list includes over twenty-eight commodities ranging from metals to industrial and agricultural commodities.  See the full list below
 
Subscribing to a selected commodity will provide you with the following services:
  • Short and long-range price forecast, updated on a monthly basis.
  • Short-term supply forecast (for selected commodity only)
  • Analysis of key strategic drivers behind the market and identification of trigger points for different production, M&A and contracting strategies to deploy under the market conditions
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Please contact us for more information.  A white paper on our methodology is available upon request.

Selected Indices

TMS is proud to provide monthly probability forecasts for key indices designed to give a broad view of what is happening to commodities.  Based on our Commodities Forecast Subscription Service, these are available free of charge.  You can use the links below to view them or follow us on Twitter @TerraServices.
  1. Metals Index
    Metals Index
  2. Energy Index
    Energy Index
  3. Renewable Energy Index
    Renewable Energy Index
  4. Agricultural Index
    Agricultural Index

Metals Index

Energy Index

Renewable Energy Index

Agricultural Index

Disclaimer:
The information contained in this report are projections based on publicly-available commodity price and supply data, which have been modelled using proprietary algorithms. The utmost care is taken in verifying the input data, as well as the resultant predictive price and supply behavior. 
As with all forecasting, the numbers contained within this report are not guarantees of future price or supply, and undue reliance should not be placed on them. Unknown risks and uncertainties, as well as geopolitical events and technological changes may introduce previously un-incorporated factors that could influence the projections contained here. The reader is hereby cautioned to treat the numbers, graphs and other information contained here as predictions within a context of uncertainty, and not projected absolute outcomes.
Current Commodity List

Metals

  • Aluminum
  • Boron
  • Gold
  • Nickel
  • Platinum
  • Silver
  • Tin
  • Tungsten

Renewable
Energy

  • Aluminum
  • Cobalt
  • Copper
  • Iron
  • Lead
  • Lithium
  • Nickel
  • Titanium
  • Zinc

Energy

  • Crude Oil
  • Uranium

Industrial

  • Diammonium Phosphate
  • Potash

Agricultural

  • Barley
  • Cotton
  • Groundnut Oil
  • Maize
  • Rice
  • Sorghum
  • Soybeans
  • Wheat
The list is continuously expanding, please contact us with your specific needs or requests.
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